Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.005449 0.006044 0.006689 0.007442 0.008301 0.009252 0.010390
2025-06-29 0.004407 0.005203 0.006134 0.007312 0.008776 0.010550 0.012888
2025-07-06 0.003800 0.004669 0.005737 0.007163 0.009040 0.011464 0.014887
2025-07-13 0.003423 0.004341 0.005516 0.007155 0.009420 0.012505 0.017134
2025-07-20 0.003196 0.004169 0.005457 0.007325 0.010025 0.013888 0.020023
2025-07-27 0.002935 0.003918 0.005257 0.007263 0.010274 0.014768 0.022272
2025-08-03 0.002735 0.003727 0.005116 0.007258 0.010590 0.015765 0.024830
2025-08-10 0.002542 0.003527 0.004939 0.007175 0.010763 0.016543 0.027125
2025-08-17 0.002407 0.003400 0.004853 0.007217 0.011129 0.017664 0.030177
2025-08-24 0.002257 0.003236 0.004699 0.007132 0.011270 0.018413 0.032657
2025-08-31 0.002093 0.003039 0.004475 0.006913 0.011157 0.018693 0.034268
2025-09-07 0.001990 0.002930 0.004382 0.006899 0.011393 0.019625 0.037329
2025-09-14 0.001938 0.002900 0.004420 0.007120 0.012098 0.021572 0.043000
2025-09-21 0.001818 0.002756 0.004261 0.006989 0.012145 0.022263 0.046092
2025-09-28 0.001709 0.002620 0.004105 0.006848 0.012153 0.022870 0.049111
2025-10-05 0.001633 0.002534 0.004027 0.006840 0.012418 0.024045 0.053753
2025-10-12 0.001591 0.002503 0.004041 0.007002 0.013037 0.026073 0.061050
2025-10-19 0.001518 0.002413 0.003944 0.006943 0.013194 0.027089 0.065896
2025-10-26 0.001458 0.002344 0.003879 0.006939 0.013465 0.028407 0.071930
2025-11-02 0.001393 0.002259 0.003780 0.006860 0.013563 0.029324 0.077023
2025-11-09 0.001348 0.002209 0.003742 0.006899 0.013928 0.030955 0.084782
2025-11-16 0.001290 0.002133 0.003650 0.006819 0.014010 0.031878 0.090524
2025-11-23 0.001220 0.002030 0.003502 0.006611 0.013773 0.031931 0.093344